Even if I had the time, I wouldn't be able to watch: I have ntl (now Virgin media), so my Sky Sports is gone! Bloody travesty them pulling a service I have paid for!!
As to who will win: I reckon any of Aus, Sri Lanka, India or SA. I think South Africa might do it though - bit of a run of form at the right time. Just a question of whether the conditions favour their seam attack or whether it will go, as most pundits opine, better for the slow bowlers and spinners.
Be interesting to analyse with some models: 5F, 7S, RBV, etc.